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ARG Argentinien - Liga Profesional · Spiel ·

Estudiantes LP vs Newell's

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.28 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg53%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg19%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Estudiantes LPNewell's
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
53% / 28% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (18.9%)Doppelte Chance1X81.1%1.23
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 38% · Nein 62%Beide Teams treffenNein62%1.61
2.28 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Estudiantes LP win53%1.89
Unentschieden28%3.57
Newell's win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estudiantes LP1.65

Heim share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

Newell's0.63

Auswärts share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nein 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Estudiantes LP

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Newell's

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.65
Expected goals
0.63
Estudiantes LPNewell's
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estudiantes LP signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estudiantes LP vs Newell's FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estudiantes LP Gewinn 53%,Unentschieden 28%,Newell's Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter