Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 28% / 19%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
2.28 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Estudiantes LP win53%1.89
Draw28%3.57
Newell's win19%5.26
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 72.4%
Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%
Away share of expected goals 27.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchEstudiantes LP
LWLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchNewell's
WWLDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Win probability excluding draw
19%6
Points from supplied form
71.65
Expected goals
0.63Estudiantes LPNewell's
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Estudiantes LP vs Newell's FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Estudiantes LP win 53%，Draw 28%，Newell's win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.28 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under。