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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Partita ·

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.38 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa49%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite20%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Instituto CordobaSan Lorenzo
Expected goals1.38Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto84% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
49% / 31% / 20%Esito partitaVittoria casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Lorenzo win (20.1%)Doppia Chance1X79.9%1.25
Sopra 16% · Sotto 84%Goals 2.5Sotto84%1.19
Sì 25% · No 75%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo75%1.33
1.38 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapInstituto Cordoba winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Instituto Cordoba win49%2.041.8550.3%-1.3 pp
Pareggio31%3.233.1030%+1.0 pp
San Lorenzo win20%5.004.7519.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Instituto Cordoba0.77

Casa share of expected goals 55.8%

Total expected goals1.38Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 16% · Sotto 84%

San Lorenzo0.61

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 25% · No 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Instituto Cordoba

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

San Lorenzo

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vinta probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.77
Expected goals
0.61
Instituto CordobaSan Lorenzo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Instituto Cordoba signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Lorenzo signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Instituto Cordoba vinta 49%,Pareggio 31%,San Lorenzo vinta 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.38 · Sopra 2.5 16% · Current selection Sotto