Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 21% / 19%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fencibles United win (18.7%)Double chance1X81.3%1.23
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
2.36 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapEastern Suburbs Auckland winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Eastern Suburbs Auckland win60%1.671.5059.2%+0.8 pp
Draw21%4.764.2021.1%-0.1 pp
Fencibles United win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 77.1%
Total expected goals2.36Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%
Away share of expected goals 22.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchEastern Suburbs Auckland
WWWDL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchFencibles United
LWWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Win probability excluding draw
19%10
Points from supplied form
121.82
Expected goals
0.54Eastern Suburbs AucklandFencibles United
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Eastern Suburbs Auckland win 60%，Draw 21%，Fencibles United win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.36 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under。