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INT Noua Zeelanda - Northern League · Meci ·

Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.36 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde60%
Egal21%
Victorie oaspeți19%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Eastern Suburbs AucklandFencibles United
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub58% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
60% / 21% / 19%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fencibles United win (18.7%)Șansă dublă1X81.3%1.23
Peste 42% · Sub 58%Goals 2.5Sub58%1.72
Da 35% · Nu 65%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65%1.54
2.36 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapEastern Suburbs Auckland winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Eastern Suburbs Auckland win60%1.671.5059.2%+0.8 pp
Egal21%4.764.2021.1%-0.1 pp
Fencibles United win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Eastern Suburbs Auckland1.82

Gazde share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 42% · Sub 58%

Fencibles United0.54

Oaspeți share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 35% · Nu 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Eastern Suburbs Auckland

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Fencibles United

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Câștig probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.82
Expected goals
0.54
Eastern Suburbs AucklandFencibles United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Eastern Suburbs Auckland signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fencibles United signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Eastern Suburbs Auckland câștig 60%,Egal 21%,Fencibles United câștig 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Peste 2.5 42% · Current selection Sub