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INT Noua Zeelanda - Northern League · Meci ·

Western Springs AFC vs Melville United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.44 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde60%
Egal20%
Victorie oaspeți19%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Western Springs AFCMelville United
Expected goals3.44Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
60% / 20% / 19%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Melville United win (19.4%)Șansă dublă1X80.6%1.24
Peste 67% · Sub 33%Goals 2.5Peste67%1.49
Da 59% · Nu 41%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59%1.69
3.44 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapMelville United winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Western Springs AFC win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Egal20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
Melville United win19%5.264.5019.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Western Springs AFC2.40

Gazde share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals3.44Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 67% · Sub 33%

Melville United1.04

Oaspeți share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 59% · Nu 41%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Western Springs AFC

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Melville United

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Câștig probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.40
Expected goals
1.04
Western Springs AFCMelville United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Western Springs AFC signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Melville United signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Western Springs AFC vs Melville United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Western Springs AFC câștig 60%,Egal 20%,Melville United câștig 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Peste 2.5 67% · Current selection Peste