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INT Neuseeland - Northern League · Spiel ·

Western Springs AFC vs Melville United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.44 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg57%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Western Springs AFCMelville United
Expected goals3.44Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über67% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
57% / 22% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Melville United win (20.9%)Doppelte Chance1X79.1%1.26
Über 67% · Unter 33%Goals 2.5Über67%1.49
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
3.44 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapWestern Springs AFC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Western Springs AFC win57%1.751.6056.5%+0.5 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.1022%0.0 pp
Melville United win21%4.764.2021.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Western Springs AFC2.40

Heim share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals3.44Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 67% · Unter 33%

Melville United1.04

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Western Springs AFC

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Melville United

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.40
Expected goals
1.04
Western Springs AFCMelville United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Western Springs AFC signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Melville United signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Western Springs AFC vs Melville United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Western Springs AFC Gewinn 57%,Unentschieden 22%,Melville United Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Über 2.5 67% · Current selection Über