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INT Neuseeland - Northern League · Spiel ·

Auckland United FC vs Tauranga City AFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.44 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg73%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg11%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Auckland United FCTauranga City AFC
Expected goals3.44Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über67% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
73% / 16% / 11%SpielergebnisHeimsieg73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tauranga City AFC win (11.3%)Doppelte Chance1X88.7%1.13
Über 67% · Unter 33%Goals 2.5Über67%1.49
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
3.44 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapAuckland United FC winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Auckland United FC win73%1.371.2571.7%+1.3 pp
Unentschieden16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp
Tauranga City AFC win11%9.097.5012%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Auckland United FC2.82

Heim share of expected goals 82%

Total expected goals3.44Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 67% · Unter 33%

Tauranga City AFC0.62

Auswärts share of expected goals 18%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Auckland United FC

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Tauranga City AFC

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.82
Expected goals
0.62
Auckland United FCTauranga City AFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Auckland United FC signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tauranga City AFC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Auckland United FC vs Tauranga City AFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Auckland United FC Gewinn 73%,Unentschieden 16%,Tauranga City AFC Gewinn 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Über 2.5 67% · Current selection Über