Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 20% / 19%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Melville United win (19.4%)Double chance1X80.6%1.24
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.44 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapMelville United winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Western Springs AFC win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Draw20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
Melville United win19%5.264.5019.8%-0.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69.8%
Total expected goals3.44Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%
Away share of expected goals 30.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchWestern Springs AFC
LDLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchMelville United
WLDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Win probability excluding draw
19%4
Points from supplied form
42.40
Expected goals
1.04Western Springs AFCMelville United
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Western Springs AFC vs Melville United FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Western Springs AFC win 60%，Draw 20%，Melville United win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.44 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over。