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INT Nuova Zelanda - Northern League · Partita ·

Western Springs AFC vs Melville United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.44 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa60%
Pareggio20%
Vittoria ospite19%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Western Springs AFCMelville United
Expected goals3.44Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra67% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
60% / 20% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Melville United win (19.4%)Doppia Chance1X80.6%1.24
Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%Goals 2.5Sopra67%1.49
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnano59%1.69
3.44 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapMelville United winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Western Springs AFC win60%1.671.5059.5%+0.5 pp
Pareggio20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
Melville United win19%5.264.5019.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Western Springs AFC2.40

Casa share of expected goals 69.8%

Total expected goals3.44Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%

Melville United1.04

Trasferta share of expected goals 30.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Western Springs AFC

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Melville United

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.40
Expected goals
1.04
Western Springs AFCMelville United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Western Springs AFC signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Melville United signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Western Springs AFC vs Melville United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Western Springs AFC vinta 60%,Pareggio 20%,Melville United vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Sopra 2.5 67% · Current selection Sopra