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INT Новая Зеландия - Северная лига · Матч ·

Истерн Сабарбс Окленд vs Fencibles United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.36 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей19%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Истерн Сабарбс ОклендFencibles United
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 21% / 19%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fencibles United win (18.7%)Двойной шанс1X81.3%1.23
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 35% · Нет 65%Обе забьютНет65%1.54
2.36 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapИстерн Сабарбс Окленд winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Истерн Сабарбс Окленд win60%1.671.5059.2%+0.8 pp
Ничья21%4.764.2021.1%-0.1 pp
Fencibles United win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Истерн Сабарбс Окленд1.82

Хозяева share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

Fencibles United0.54

Гости share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Нет 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Истерн Сабарбс Окленд

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Fencibles United

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.82
Expected goals
0.54
Истерн Сабарбс ОклендFencibles United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Истерн Сабарбс Окленд signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fencibles United signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Истерн Сабарбс Окленд vs Fencibles United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Истерн Сабарбс Окленд выигрыш 60%,Ничья 21%,Fencibles United выигрыш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше