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INT Nouvelle-Zélande - Northern League · Match ·

Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.36 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile60%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Eastern Suburbs AucklandFencibles United
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
60% / 21% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fencibles United win (18.7%)Double chance1X81.3%1.23
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 35% · Non 65%Les deux équipes marquentNon65%1.54
2.36 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapEastern Suburbs Auckland winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Eastern Suburbs Auckland win60%1.671.5059.2%+0.8 pp
Nul21%4.764.2021.1%-0.1 pp
Fencibles United win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Eastern Suburbs Auckland1.82

Domicile share of expected goals 77.1%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Fencibles United0.54

Extérieur share of expected goals 22.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 35% · Non 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Eastern Suburbs Auckland

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Fencibles United

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.82
Expected goals
0.54
Eastern Suburbs AucklandFencibles United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Eastern Suburbs Auckland signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fencibles United signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Fencibles United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Eastern Suburbs Auckland victoire 60%,Nul 21%,Fencibles United victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de