Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
65% / 21% / 14%Match resultHome win65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sligo Rovers win (14.2%)Double chance1X85.8%1.17
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.44 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapDerry City winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Derry City win65%1.541.4065%0.0 pp
Draw21%4.764.3321%0.0 pp
Sligo Rovers win14%7.146.5014%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 68.9%
Total expected goals2.44Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%
Away share of expected goals 31.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchDerry City
DLWDL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchSligo Rovers
DDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
65%
Win probability excluding draw
14%5
Points from supplied form
21.68
Expected goals
0.76Derry CitySligo Rovers
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Derry City win 65%，Draw 21%，Sligo Rovers win 14%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under。