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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Maç ·

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır65%
Beraberlik21%
Deplasman kazanır14%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Derry CitySligo Rovers
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
65% / 21% / 14%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sligo Rovers win (14.2%)Çifte Şans1X85.8%1.17
Üst 44% · Alt 56%Goals 2.5Alt56%1.79
Evet 44% · Hayır 56%Karşılıklı gol varHayır56%1.79
2.44 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.6 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapDerry City winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Derry City win65%1.541.4065%0.0 pp
Beraberlik21%4.764.3321%0.0 pp
Sligo Rovers win14%7.146.5014%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derry City1.68

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 44% · Alt 56%

Sligo Rovers0.76

Deplasman share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 44% · Hayır 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Derry City

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Sligo Rovers

0.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puan2

SignalHayır recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
14%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
0.76
Derry CitySligo Rovers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derry City signalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sligo Rovers signalHayır recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derry City kazanç 65%,Beraberlik 21%,Sligo Rovers kazanç 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · 2.5 Üst 44% · Current selection Alt