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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Mérkőzés ·

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem65%
Döntetlen21%
Vendég győzelem14%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Derry CitySligo Rovers
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt56% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
65% / 21% / 14%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sligo Rovers win (14.2%)Dupla esély1X85.8%1.17
Felett 44% · Alatt 56%Goals 2.5Alatt56%1.79
Igen 44% · Nem 56%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem56%1.79
2.44 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.6 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapDerry City winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Derry City win65%1.541.4065%0.0 pp
Döntetlen21%4.764.3321%0.0 pp
Sligo Rovers win14%7.146.5014%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derry City1.68

Hazai share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 44% · Alatt 56%

Sligo Rovers0.76

Vendég share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 44% · Nem 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Derry City

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sligo Rovers

0.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontok2

SignalNem recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Nyert probability excluding draw
14%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
0.76
Derry CitySligo Rovers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derry City signalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sligo Rovers signalNem recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derry City nyer 65%,Döntetlen 21%,Sligo Rovers nyer 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · 2.5 felett 44% · Current selection Alatt