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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Final ·

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile65%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur14%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 65% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Derry CitySligo Rovers
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
65% / 21% / 14%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sligo Rovers win (14.2%)Double chance1X85.8%1.17
Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%Goals 2.5Moins de56%1.79
Oui 44% · Non 56%Les deux équipes marquentNon56%1.79
2.44 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapDerry City winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Derry City win65%1.541.4065%0.0 pp
Nul21%4.764.3321%0.0 pp
Sligo Rovers win14%7.146.5014%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Derry City1.68

Domicile share of expected goals 68.9%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%

Sligo Rovers0.76

Extérieur share of expected goals 31.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 44% · Non 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Derry City

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sligo Rovers

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gagné probability excluding draw
14%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.68
Expected goals
0.76
Derry CitySligo Rovers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Derry City signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sligo Rovers signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Derry City victoire 65%,Nul 21%,Sligo Rovers victoire 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Plus de 2.5 44% · Current selection Moins de