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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Match ·

Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile55%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur20%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Shamrock RoversDundalk
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
55% / 24% / 20%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundalk win (20.4%)Double chance1X79.6%1.26
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.52 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapShamrock Rovers winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shamrock Rovers win55%1.821.6555.5%-0.5 pp
Nul24%4.173.8024.1%-0.1 pp
Dundalk win20%5.004.5020.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shamrock Rovers1.62

Domicile share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Dundalk0.90

Extérieur share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Shamrock Rovers

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Dundalk

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gagné probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.62
Expected goals
0.90
Shamrock RoversDundalk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shamrock Rovers signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundalk signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shamrock Rovers victoire 55%,Nul 24%,Dundalk victoire 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de