Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 25% / 20%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundalk win (20.3%)Double chance1X79.7%1.25
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.52 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shamrock Rovers win55%1.821.6555.2%-0.2 pp
Draw25%4.003.7024.6%+0.4 pp
Dundalk win20%5.004.5020.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 64.3%
Total expected goals2.52Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 35.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchShamrock Rovers
DWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchDundalk
DDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
20%7
Points from supplied form
21.62
Expected goals
0.90Shamrock RoversDundalk
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Shamrock Rovers win 55%，Draw 25%，Dundalk win 20%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。