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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Kamp ·

Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr55%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr20%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Shamrock RoversDundalk
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
55% / 24% / 20%KampresultatHjemmesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundalk win (20.4%)Dobbeltchance1X79.6%1.26
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Begge hold scorerNej52%1.92
2.52 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapShamrock Rovers winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shamrock Rovers win55%1.821.6555.5%-0.5 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.8024.1%-0.1 pp
Dundalk win20%5.004.5020.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shamrock Rovers1.62

Hjemme share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Dundalk0.90

Ude share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Shamrock Rovers

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Dundalk

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vundet probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.62
Expected goals
0.90
Shamrock RoversDundalk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shamrock Rovers signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundalk signalUde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shamrock Rovers vundet 55%,Uafgjort 24%,Dundalk vundet 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under