Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 32% / 33%Match resultHome win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.4%)Double chance1267.6%1.48
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.34 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Merlo win35%2.862.5535.2%-0.2 pp
Draw32%3.132.7532.7%-0.7 pp
Sportivo Italiano win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 42.7%
Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%
Away share of expected goals 57.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchDeportivo Merlo
DLDWD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSportivo Italiano
LDWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
35%
Win probability excluding draw
33%6
Points from supplied form
101.00
Expected goals
1.34Deportivo MerloSportivo Italiano
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Deportivo Merlo win 35%，Draw 32%，Sportivo Italiano win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under。