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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 29 ·

Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem28%
Döntetlen32%
Vendég győzelem40%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo MerloSportivo Italiano
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt59% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
28% / 32% / 40%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Merlo win (28%)Dupla esélyX272%1.39
Felett 41% · Alatt 59%Goals 2.5Alatt59%1.69
Igen 47% · Nem 53%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem53%1.89
2.34 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
8.7 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Merlo win28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Döntetlen32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp
Sportivo Italiano win40%2.502.2539.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Merlo1.00

Hazai share of expected goals 42.7%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 41% · Alatt 59%

Sportivo Italiano1.34

Vendég share of expected goals 57.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 47% · Nem 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Deportivo Merlo

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontok6

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sportivo Italiano

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Nyert probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.00
Expected goals
1.34
Deportivo MerloSportivo Italiano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Merlo signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sportivo Italiano signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Merlo nyer 28%,Döntetlen 32%,Sportivo Italiano nyer 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · 2.5 felett 41% · Current selection Alatt