What is the Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 53%.

What are the Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Fortuna win 53%, draw 25%, and UD Ourense win 23%.

How many goals are expected in Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense?

The displayed projection is 3.27 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 63%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

EUR Europe Friendlies · Final · Sun, Aug 9, 01:00

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense

Prediction review

Home form

Final score2–0Forecast 2–1

Away form

Home win53%

Draw25%

Away win23%

Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 53% selection probability

Prediction WonAug 09, 2026, 03:19

Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability

Projected score2–1Celta Fortuna — UD Ourense

Expected goals3.27Open match profile

Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side

Expected corners8.0Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

53% / 25% / 23%Match resultHome win53%1.89

Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Ourense win (22.6%)Double chance1X77.4%1.29

Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59

Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54

3.27 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Celta Fortuna win53%1.891.6753.4%—

Draw25%4.003.6024.8%—

UD Ourense win23%4.354.1021.8%—

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Fortuna1.95

Home share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals3.27Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

UD Ourense1.32

Away share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Celta Fortuna

2.00pts / match

Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

UD Ourense

1.00pts / match

Played4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

53%

Win probability excluding draw

23%

Points from supplied form

1.95

Expected goals

1.32

Celta FortunaUD Ourense

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Fortuna signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Ourense signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions