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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score2–0Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem53%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem23%
Market-based forecastHazai győzelemTier B · 53% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Expected goals3.27Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett63% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
53% / 25% / 23%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Ourense win (22.6%)Dupla esély1X77.4%1.29
Felett 63% · Alatt 37%Goals 2.5Felett63%1.59
Igen 65% · Nem 35%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.0 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNincs
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Celta Fortuna win53%1.891.6753.4%
Döntetlen25%4.003.6024.8%
UD Ourense win23%4.354.1021.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Fortuna1.95

Hazai share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals3.27Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 63% · Alatt 37%

UD Ourense1.32

Vendég share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 65% · Nem 35%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Celta Fortuna

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

UD Ourense

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Nyert probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.95
Expected goals
1.32
Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Fortuna signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Ourense signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Fortuna nyer 53%,Döntetlen 25%,UD Ourense nyer 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · 2.5 felett 63% · Current selection Felett