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EUR Europe Friendlies · Spiel ·

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg53%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg23%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Expected goals3.27Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
53% / 25% / 23%SpielergebnisHeimsieg53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Ourense win (22.6%)Doppelte Chance1X77.4%1.29
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nein 35%Beide Teams treffenJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.0 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Celta Fortuna win53%1.891.6753.4%
Unentschieden25%4.003.6024.8%
UD Ourense win23%4.354.1021.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Fortuna1.95

Heim share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals3.27Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

UD Ourense1.32

Auswärts share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nein 35%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Celta Fortuna

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

UD Ourense

1.00pts / match
Gespielt4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.95
Expected goals
1.32
Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Fortuna signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Ourense signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Fortuna Gewinn 53%,Unentschieden 25%,UD Ourense Gewinn 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über