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EUR Europe Friendlies · Матч ·

Сельта Фортуна vs УД Оренсе

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей23%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Сельта ФортунаУД Оренсе
Expected goals3.27Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 25% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes УД Оренсе win (22.6%)Двойной шанс1X77.4%1.29
Больше 63% · Меньше 37%Goals 2.5Больше63%1.59
Да 65% · Нет 35%Обе забьютДа65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сельта Фортуна win53%1.891.6753.4%
Ничья25%4.003.6024.8%
УД Оренсе win23%4.354.1021.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сельта Фортуна1.95

Хозяева share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals3.27Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 63% · Меньше 37%

УД Оренсе1.32

Гости share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 65% · Нет 35%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сельта Фортуна

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

УД Оренсе

1.00pts / match
Сыграно4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.95
Expected goals
1.32
Сельта ФортунаУД Оренсе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сельта Фортуна signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02УД Оренсе signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Сельта Фортуна vs УД Оренсе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сельта Фортуна выигрыш 53%,Ничья 25%,УД Оренсе выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · ТБ 2.5 63% · Current selection Больше