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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger53%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger23%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Expected goals3.27Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
53% / 25% / 23%MatchresultatHemmaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Ourense win (22.6%)Dubbelchans1X77.4%1.29
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Celta Fortuna win53%1.891.6753.4%
Oavgjort25%4.003.6024.8%
UD Ourense win23%4.354.1021.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Fortuna1.95

Hemma share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals3.27Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

UD Ourense1.32

Borta share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Celta Fortuna

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

UD Ourense

1.00pts / match
Spelade4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.95
Expected goals
1.32
Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Fortuna signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Ourense signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Fortuna vunnen 53%,Oavgjort 25%,UD Ourense vunnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över