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EUR 欧州親善試合 · Final ·

セルタ・フォルトゥナ vs UDオウレンセ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score2–0予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利53%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利23%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 53% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利53% selection probability
Projected score2–1セルタ・フォルトゥナUDオウレンセ
Expected goals3.27始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー63% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
53% / 25% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UDオウレンセ win (22.6%)ダブルチャンス1X77.4%1.29
オーバー 63% · アンダー 37%Goals 2.5オーバー63%1.59
はい 65% · いいえ 35%両チーム得点はい65%1.54
3.27 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.0 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
セルタ・フォルトゥナ win53%1.891.6753.4%
引き分け25%4.003.6024.8%
UDオウレンセ win23%4.354.1021.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

セルタ・フォルトゥナ1.95

ホーム share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals3.27始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 63% · アンダー 37%

UDオウレンセ1.32

アウェイ share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 65% · いいえ 35%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

セルタ・フォルトゥナ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

UDオウレンセ

1.00pts / match
試合数4Wins1Drawn1Losses2ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.95
Expected goals
1.32
セルタ・フォルトゥナUDオウレンセ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01セルタ・フォルトゥナ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UDオウレンセ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

セルタ・フォルトゥナ vs UDオウレンセ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

セルタ・フォルトゥナ 勝ち 53%,引き分け 25%,UDオウレンセ 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · オーバー 2.5 63% · Current selection オーバー