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EUR Europe Friendlies · Fixture ·

Virtus Entella vs Carrarese

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw27%
Away win34%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Virtus EntellaCarrarese
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Double chance1272.9%1.37
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Virtus Entella win39%2.562.3837.8%
Draw27%3.703.2527.7%
Carrarese win34%2.942.6034.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Virtus Entella1.69

Home share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Carrarese1.54

Away share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Virtus Entella

1.75pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Points7

SignalAway failed to score: 2/3

Away-context · form sequence

Carrarese

1.00pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.69
Expected goals
1.54
Virtus EntellaCarrarese
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Virtus Entella signalAway failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carrarese signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Virtus Entella vs Carrarese FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Virtus Entella win 39%,Draw 27%,Carrarese win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over