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Elche Ilicitano vs Athletic Torrellano

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.28 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw24%
Away win23%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Elche IlicitanoAthletic Torrellano
Expected goals3.28Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 24% / 23%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Torrellano win (23.3%)Double chance1X76.7%1.30
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.28 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elche Ilicitano win53%1.891.6753.9%
Draw24%4.173.8023.7%
Athletic Torrellano win23%4.354.0022.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elche Ilicitano1.95

Home share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals3.28Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Athletic Torrellano1.33

Away share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Elche Ilicitano

0.00pts / match
Played3Wins0Drawn0Losses3Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/3

Away-context · form sequence

Athletic Torrellano

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.95
Expected goals
1.33
Elche IlicitanoAthletic Torrellano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elche Ilicitano signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Torrellano signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Elche Ilicitano vs Athletic Torrellano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elche Ilicitano win 53%,Draw 24%,Athletic Torrellano win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.28 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over