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HND Honduras Liga Nacional · Fixture ·

CD Platense vs CD Marathon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw29%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 29% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Double chance1270.9%1.41
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapCD Marathon winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Platense win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
CD Marathon win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Platense0.89

Home share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

CD Marathon1.30

Away share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CD Platense

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.89
Expected goals
1.30
CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Platense signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CD Platense vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Platense win 30%,Draw 29%,CD Marathon win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under