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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Zápas ·

CD Platense vs CD Marathon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich30%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí41%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej62% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
30% / 29% / 41%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Dvojitá šanca1270.9%1.41
Viac 38% · Menej 62%Goals 2.5Menej62%1.61
Áno 43% · Nie 57%Oba tímy skórujúNie57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
10.2 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapCD Marathon winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Platense win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Remíza29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
CD Marathon win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Platense0.89

Domáci share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 38% · Menej 62%

CD Marathon1.30

Hostia share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 43% · Nie 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

CD Platense

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Výhra probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.89
Expected goals
1.30
CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Platense signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CD Platense vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Platense výhra 30%,Remíza 29%,CD Marathon výhra 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Viac 2.5 38% · Current selection Menej