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HND Honduras - Lega Nazionale · Final ·

CD Platense vs CD Marathon

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score1–1Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa30%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite41%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
30% / 29% / 41%Esito partitaVittoria ospite41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Doppia Chance1270.9%1.41
Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%Goals 2.5Sotto62%1.61
Sì 43% · No 57%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapCD Marathon winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Platense win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
CD Marathon win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Platense0.89

Casa share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 38% · Sotto 62%

CD Marathon1.30

Trasferta share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

CD Platense

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Vinta probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.89
Expected goals
1.30
CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Platense signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CD Platense vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Platense vinta 30%,Pareggio 29%,CD Marathon vinta 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Sopra 2.5 38% · Current selection Sotto