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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Final ·

CD Platense vs CD Marathon

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–1Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde30%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți41%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
30% / 29% / 41%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Șansă dublă1270.9%1.41
Peste 38% · Sub 62%Goals 2.5Sub62%1.61
Da 43% · Nu 57%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapCD Marathon winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Platense win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Egal29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
CD Marathon win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Platense0.89

Gazde share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 38% · Sub 62%

CD Marathon1.30

Oaspeți share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 43% · Nu 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

CD Platense

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Câștig probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.89
Expected goals
1.30
CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Platense signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CD Platense vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Platense câștig 30%,Egal 29%,CD Marathon câștig 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Peste 2.5 38% · Current selection Sub