Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 28% / 24%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ayr win (23.8%)Double chance1X76.2%1.31
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.53 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Dunfermline win48%2.08
Draw28%3.57
Ayr win24%4.17
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 65.2%
Total expected goals2.53Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 34.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchDunfermline
DWWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchAyr
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
24%10
Points from supplied form
151.65
Expected goals
0.88DunfermlineAyr
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Dunfermline vs Ayr FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Dunfermline win 48%，Draw 28%，Ayr win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.53 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。