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SCO Шотландия - Чемпиъншип · Round 1 ·

Дънфърмлин vs Еър

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина48%
Равен28%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина48% selection probability
Projected score2–1ДънфърмлинЕър
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
48% / 28% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Еър win (23.8%)Двоен шанс1X76.2%1.31
Над 47% · Под 53%Goals 2.5Под53%1.89
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
2.53 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Дънфърмлин win48%2.08
Равен28%3.57
Еър win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дънфърмлин1.65

Домакин share of expected goals 65.2%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 47% · Под 53%

Еър0.88

Гост share of expected goals 34.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Дънфърмлин

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Еър

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
10
Points from supplied form
15
1.65
Expected goals
0.88
ДънфърмлинЕър
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дънфърмлин signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Еър signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Дънфърмлин vs Еър FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дънфърмлин печеливш 48%,Равен 28%,Еър печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Над 2.5 47% · Current selection Под