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SCO Шотландия - Чемпионшип · Round 1 ·

Данфермлин vs Эйр

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score2–1ДанфермлинЭйр
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 28% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Эйр win (23.8%)Двойной шанс1X76.2%1.31
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.53 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Данфермлин win48%2.08
Ничья28%3.57
Эйр win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Данфермлин1.65

Хозяева share of expected goals 65.2%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Эйр0.88

Гости share of expected goals 34.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Данфермлин

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Эйр

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.65
Expected goals
0.88
ДанфермлинЭйр
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Данфермлин signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Эйр signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Данфермлин vs Эйр FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Данфермлин выигрыш 48%,Ничья 28%,Эйр выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше