Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 27% / 27%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Morton win (27.3%)Double chance1X72.7%1.38
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin12.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stenhousemuir win45%2.221.9545.6%—
Draw27%3.703.2527.4%—
Morton win27%3.703.3027%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57.2%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%
Away share of expected goals 42.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchStenhousemuir
DWWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchMorton
LDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Win probability excluding draw
27%8
Points from supplied form
21.39
Expected goals
1.04StenhousemuirMorton
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Stenhousemuir vs Morton FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Stenhousemuir win 45%，Draw 27%，Morton win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under。