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SCO Skotland - Championship · Kamp ·

Stenhousemuir vs Morton

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr43%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr30%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr43% selection probability
Projected score1–1StenhousemuirMorton
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
43% / 27% / 30%KampresultatHjemmesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dobbeltchance1272.8%1.37
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
2.42 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Stenhousemuir win43%2.33
Uafgjort27%3.70
Morton win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stenhousemuir1.34

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Morton1.08

Ude share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Stenhousemuir

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Morton

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vundet probability excluding draw
30%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.34
Expected goals
1.08
StenhousemuirMorton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stenhousemuir signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Morton signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Stenhousemuir vs Morton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stenhousemuir vundet 43%,Uafgjort 27%,Morton vundet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under