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SCO Skotland - Championship · Round 1 ·

Queen's Park vs Raith

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr33%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr37%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Queen's ParkRaith
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
33% / 30% / 37%KampresultatUdesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Dobbeltchance1269.6%1.44
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Begge hold scorerNej52%1.92
2.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Queen's Park win33%3.03
Uafgjort30%3.33
Raith win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Queen's Park1.10

Hjemme share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Raith1.23

Ude share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Queen's Park

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Raith

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vundet probability excluding draw
37%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.10
Expected goals
1.23
Queen's ParkRaith
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Queen's Park signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Raith signalHjemme failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Queen's Park vs Raith FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Queen's Park vundet 33%,Uafgjort 30%,Raith vundet 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under