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SCO Schotland - Championship · Round 1 ·

Queen's Park vs Raith

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Queen's ParkRaith
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 30% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Dubbele Kans1269.6%1.44
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.33 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Queen's Park win33%3.03
Gelijkspel30%3.33
Raith win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Queen's Park1.10

Thuis share of expected goals 47.2%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

Raith1.23

Uit share of expected goals 52.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Queen's Park

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Raith

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.10
Expected goals
1.23
Queen's ParkRaith
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Queen's Park signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Raith signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Queen's Park vs Raith FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Queen's Park gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 30%,Raith gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder