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SCO Skottland - Championship · Match ·

Stenhousemuir vs Morton

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger45%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger27%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger45% selection probability
Projected score1–1StenhousemuirMorton
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
45% / 27% / 27%MatchresultatHemmaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Morton win (27.3%)Dubbelchans1X72.7%1.38
Över 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Båda lagen gör målNej51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stenhousemuir win45%2.221.9545.6%
Oavgjort27%3.703.2527.4%
Morton win27%3.703.3027%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stenhousemuir1.39

Hemma share of expected goals 57.2%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 44% · Under 56%

Morton1.04

Borta share of expected goals 42.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Stenhousemuir

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Morton

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
27%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.39
Expected goals
1.04
StenhousemuirMorton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stenhousemuir signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Morton signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Stenhousemuir vs Morton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stenhousemuir vunnen 45%,Oavgjort 27%,Morton vunnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Över 2.5 44% · Current selection Under