MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
JPN Japan J-League · Fixture ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw30%
Away win36%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 30% / 36%Match resultAway win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Double chance1270.3%1.42
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapAvispa Fukuoka winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avispa Fukuoka win34%2.942.6335.1%-1.1 pp
Draw30%3.333.1029.8%+0.2 pp
Cerezo Osaka win36%2.782.6335.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.89

Home share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Cerezo Osaka1.39

Away share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
15
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerezo Osaka signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka win 34%,Draw 30%,Cerezo Osaka win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under