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JPN Japón - J League · Partido ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local34%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
34% / 30% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Doble Oportunidad1270.3%1.42
Más de 40% · Menos de 60%Goals 2.5Menos de60%1.67
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapAvispa Fukuoka winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avispa Fukuoka win34%2.942.6335.1%-1.1 pp
Empate30%3.333.1029.8%+0.2 pp
Cerezo Osaka win36%2.782.6335.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.89

Local share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 40% · Menos de 60%

Cerezo Osaka1.39

Visitante share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
15
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerezo Osaka signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka ganada 34%,Empate 30%,Cerezo Osaka ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Más de 2.5 40% · Current selection Menos de