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JPN Giappone - J-League · Partita ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa34%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite36%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
34% / 30% / 36%Esito partitaVittoria ospite36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Doppia Chance1270.3%1.42
Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%Goals 2.5Sotto60%1.67
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapAvispa Fukuoka winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avispa Fukuoka win34%2.942.6335.1%-1.1 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.1029.8%+0.2 pp
Cerezo Osaka win36%2.782.6335.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.89

Casa share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%

Cerezo Osaka1.39

Trasferta share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

3.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vinta probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
15
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerezo Osaka signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka vinta 34%,Pareggio 30%,Cerezo Osaka vinta 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Sopra 2.5 40% · Current selection Sotto