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JPN Japan - J-League · Kamp ·

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr34%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr36%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
34% / 30% / 36%KampresultatUdesejr36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Dobbeltchance1270.3%1.42
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapAvispa Fukuoka winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avispa Fukuoka win34%2.942.6335.1%-1.1 pp
Uafgjort30%3.333.1029.8%+0.2 pp
Cerezo Osaka win36%2.782.6335.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avispa Fukuoka0.89

Hjemme share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Cerezo Osaka1.39

Ude share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Avispa Fukuoka

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Point3

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vundet probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
15
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avispa Fukuoka signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerezo Osaka signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avispa Fukuoka vundet 34%,Uafgjort 30%,Cerezo Osaka vundet 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under