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JPN Япония - Джей Лига · Мач ·

Ависпа Фукуока vs Серезо Осака

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина34%
Равен30%
Победа за госта36%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ависпа ФукуокаСерезо Осака
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
34% / 30% / 36%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Двоен шанс1270.3%1.42
Над 40% · Под 60%Goals 2.5Под60%1.67
Да 45% · Не 55%И двата отбора да отбележатНе55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapАвиспа Фукуока winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ависпа Фукуока win34%2.942.6335.1%-1.1 pp
Равен30%3.333.1029.8%+0.2 pp
Серезо Осака win36%2.782.6335.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ависпа Фукуока0.89

Домакин share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 40% · Под 60%

Серезо Осака1.39

Гост share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Не 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ависпа Фукуока

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Серезо Осака

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
15
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
Ависпа ФукуокаСерезо Осака
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ависпа Фукуока signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Серезо Осака signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ависпа Фукуока vs Серезо Осака FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ависпа Фукуока печеливш 34%,Равен 30%,Серезо Осака печеливш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Над 2.5 40% · Current selection Под