What is the Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 43%.

What are the Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki 1X2 probabilities?

Fagiano Okayama win 43%, draw 29%, and V-Varen Nagasaki win 28%.

How many goals are expected in Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

The displayed projection is 2.73 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 51%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

JPN Japan J-League · Fixture · Sat, Aug 15, 17:55

Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score2–12.73 expected goals

Away form

Home win43%

Draw29%

Away win28%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability

Projected score2–1Fagiano Okayama — V-Varen Nagasaki

Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side

Expected corners9.8Over 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

43% / 29% / 28%Match resultHome win43%2.33

Derived from 1X2 · excludes V-Varen Nagasaki win (28.2%)Double chance1X71.8%1.39

Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96

Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82

2.73 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Fagiano Okayama win43%2.332.1543%0.0 pp

Draw29%3.453.2028.9%+0.1 pp

V-Varen Nagasaki win28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fagiano Okayama1.51

Home share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

V-Varen Nagasaki1.22

Away share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fagiano Okayama

1.20pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

V-Varen Nagasaki

1.40pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

43%

Win probability excluding draw

28%

Points from supplied form

1.51

Expected goals

1.22

Fagiano OkayamaV-Varen Nagasaki

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fagiano Okayama signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02V-Varen Nagasaki signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions