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JPN Япония - Джей-лига · Матч ·

Фаджиано Окаяма vs В-Варен Нагасаки

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев43%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей28%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Фаджиано ОкаямаВ-Варен Нагасаки
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 29% / 28%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes В-Варен Нагасаки win (28.2%)Двойной шанс1X71.8%1.39
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
2.73 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Фаджиано Окаяма win43%2.332.1543%0.0 pp
Ничья29%3.453.2028.9%+0.1 pp
В-Варен Нагасаки win28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фаджиано Окаяма1.51

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

В-Варен Нагасаки1.22

Гости share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Фаджиано Окаяма

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

В-Варен Нагасаки

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.51
Expected goals
1.22
Фаджиано ОкаямаВ-Варен Нагасаки
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фаджиано Окаяма signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02В-Варен Нагасаки signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Фаджиано Окаяма vs В-Варен Нагасаки FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фаджиано Окаяма выигрыш 43%,Ничья 29%,В-Варен Нагасаки выигрыш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше