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JPN Япония - Джей-лига · Матч ·

ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара Тиба vs Матида Зельвия

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.56 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев24%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей47%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей47% selection probability
Projected score1–2ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара ТибаМатида Зельвия
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
24% / 28% / 47%Исход матчаПобеда гостей47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара Тиба win (24.3%)Двойной шансX275.7%1.32
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.56 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара Тиба winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара Тиба win24%4.173.7025%-1.0 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2028.9%-0.9 pp
Матида Зельвия win47%2.132.0046.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара Тиба0.81

Хозяева share of expected goals 31.6%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Матида Зельвия1.75

Гости share of expected goals 68.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара Тиба

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Матида Зельвия

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.81
Expected goals
1.75
ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара ТибаМатида Зельвия
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара Тиба signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Матида Зельвия signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара Тиба vs Матида Зельвия FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ДЖЕФ Юнайтед Итихара Тиба выигрыш 24%,Ничья 28%,Матида Зельвия выигрыш 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше