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JPN Japonsko - J-League · Zápas ·

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–22.56 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich24%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí47%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí47% selection probability
Projected score1–2JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej53% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
24% / 28% / 47%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (24.3%)Dvojitá šancaX275.7%1.32
Viac 47% · Menej 53%Goals 2.5Menej53%1.89
Áno 46% · Nie 54%Oba tímy skórujúNie54%1.85
2.56 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
9.0 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JEF Utd Chiba win24%4.173.7025%-1.0 pp
Remíza28%3.573.2028.9%-0.9 pp
Machida Zelvia win47%2.132.0046.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JEF Utd Chiba0.81

Domáci share of expected goals 31.6%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 47% · Menej 53%

Machida Zelvia1.75

Hostia share of expected goals 68.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 46% · Nie 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Machida Zelvia

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Výhra probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.81
Expected goals
1.75
JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JEF Utd Chiba signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Machida Zelvia signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JEF Utd Chiba výhra 24%,Remíza 28%,Machida Zelvia výhra 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Viac 2.5 47% · Current selection Menej